Results

The public paper book

Every graded entry in the VigPulse experiment: 33 paper bets, 9W-24L, +2,417.5u. Nothing is filtered, nothing is selected, and the fields that were never recorded say so.

Current capabilityThis page describes what VigPulse actually does today: MLB moneyline, paper-only, with a public ledger.

Graded: 33
Record: 9W-24L
Paper units: +2,417.5u
Open positions: 0

Headline

Read these four numbers together

Any one of them on its own is misleading, and the unit total is the most misleading of the four.

Record: 9W-24L
Paper units: +2,417.5u
Pre-game CLV: +4.93%
Pre-game sample: 6

What this record does not show

The win rate is poor: 9 wins against 24 losses. The unit total is positive anyway because a small number of longshot entries landed. Removing the three largest winners takes 2,725 units out of a 2,417.5 unit total — roughly 65% of all winning units come from three entries.

The closing-line-value figure is the more meaningful signal, and it rests on 6 pre-game entries. That is not a result. A positive average across 6 entries is entirely consistent with having no edge at all.

Where the units came from

Pre-game and in-play are different experiments

Most of these entries were logged after first pitch. That matters for how the numbers should be read, so the split is published rather than blended.

Graded entries split by whether they were logged before or after first pitch. Derived from the published ledger.
Phase	Entries	Wins	Paper units	CLV reported
Pre-game entries	6	0	-600.0u	Yes
In-play entries	27	9	+3017.5u	No — n/a*

Concentration

who carried the total

Units from winners: +4217.5u
Units from losers: -1800.0u
Largest single win: +1100.0u
Top three winners: +2725.0u
Share of winning units: 64.6%

A total driven by three results is a statement about those three results.

Sample scope

what is actually covered

Sports: MLB
Markets: Moneyline
First entry: 2026-08-21
Last settlement: 2026-08-24
Stake type: Paper on every row
Book recorded: 0 of 33
Model version recorded: 0 of 33

A few days of one market. Read it as a working log, not a track record.

The ledger

Every graded entry

The complete table, newest settlement first. How each field is captured and graded is documented in results methodology.

All 33 graded paper entries, newest settlement first. Entry and closing prices are decimal odds. Units are paper units. Closing line value is reported for pre-game entries only; in-play rows show n/a* for the reason given below the table.
Settled (UTC)	Sport	Market	Selection	Phase	Entry	Close	Result	Score	Units	CLV	Stake type	Book	Model version
2026-08-24 02:18	MLB	Moneyline	Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves	LIVE	6.25	1.91	L	2-4	-50u	n/a*	Paper	Not recorded	Not recorded
2026-08-23 23:05	MLB	Moneyline	Minnesota Twins @ San Diego Padres	PRE	2.37	2.36	L	8-1	-100u	+0.4%	Paper	Not recorded	Not recorded
2026-08-23 23:05	MLB	Moneyline	Pittsburgh Pirates @ Los Angeles Dodgers	PRE	3.57	3.44	L	4-0	-100u	+3.8%	Paper	Not recorded	Not recorded
2026-08-23 21:35	MLB	Moneyline	Los Angeles Angels @ Texas Rangers	LIVE	11.00	2.42	L	5-3	-50u	n/a*	Paper	Not recorded	Not recorded
2026-08-23 21:35	MLB	Moneyline	Athletics @ Houston Astros	LIVE	19.00	2.59	W	6-7	+900u	n/a*	Paper	Not recorded	Not recorded
2026-08-23 21:17	MLB	Moneyline	Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers	LIVE	1.83	2.00	W	11-7	+41.5u	n/a*	Paper	Not recorded	Not recorded
2026-08-23 20:47	MLB	Moneyline	Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees	LIVE	4.75	2.13	L	8-3	-50u	n/a*	Paper	Not recorded	Not recorded
2026-08-23 20:35	MLB	Moneyline	Washington Nationals @ Miami Marlins	LIVE	6.93	2.45	L	6-2	-100u	n/a*	Paper	Not recorded	Not recorded
2026-08-23 20:35	MLB	Moneyline	Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals	LIVE	10.50	1.46	W	6-4	+475u	n/a*	Paper	Not recorded	Not recorded
2026-08-23 20:35	MLB	Moneyline	Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays	LIVE	10.90	1.92	L	1-3	-50u	n/a*	Paper	Not recorded	Not recorded
2026-08-23 03:48	MLB	Moneyline	San Diego Padres vs Minnesota Twins	LIVE	4.20	1.72	W	7-5	+160u	n/a*	Paper	Not recorded	Not recorded
2026-08-23 03:18	MLB	Moneyline	Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds	LIVE	12.00	1.53	L	5-11	-50u	n/a*	Paper	Not recorded	Not recorded
2026-08-23 02:48	MLB	Moneyline	Chicago White Sox vs New York Mets	LIVE	2.50	1.91	L	5-10	-50u	n/a*	Paper	Not recorded	Not recorded
2026-08-23 02:18	MLB	Moneyline	Athletics @ Houston Astros	LIVE	7.50	3.04	W	3-4	+650u	n/a*	Paper	Not recorded	Not recorded
2026-08-23 02:18	MLB	Moneyline	Houston Astros vs Athletics	LIVE	1.22	1.43	L	3-4	-100u	n/a*	Paper	Not recorded	Not recorded
2026-08-23 02:18	MLB	Moneyline	Pittsburgh Pirates @ Los Angeles Dodgers	LIVE	5.75	3.29	L	4-3	-100u	n/a*	Paper	Not recorded	Not recorded
2026-08-23 02:18	MLB	Moneyline	Los Angeles Dodgers vs Pittsburgh Pirates	LIVE	2.67	1.38	W	4-3	+83.5u	n/a*	Paper	Not recorded	Not recorded
2026-08-23 02:00	MLB	Moneyline	Seattle Mariners vs Chicago Cubs	LIVE	8.25	1.87	W	5-4	+725u	n/a*	Paper	Not recorded	Not recorded
2026-08-23 01:48	MLB	Moneyline	Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays	LIVE	2.65	2.16	W	3-2	+82.5u	n/a*	Paper	Not recorded	Not recorded
2026-08-23 01:30	MLB	Moneyline	Detroit Tigers @ Kansas City Royals	LIVE	38.00	1.96	L	3-1	-100u	n/a*	Paper	Not recorded	Not recorded
2026-08-22 21:01	MLB	Moneyline	Atlanta Braves @ Milwaukee Brewers	LIVE	8.10	2.42	L	4-1	-100u	n/a*	Paper	Not recorded	Not recorded
2026-08-22 21:01	MLB	Moneyline	New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays	LIVE	12.00	1.96	L	3-4	-50u	n/a*	Paper	Not recorded	Not recorded
2026-08-22 05:49	MLB	Moneyline	Pittsburgh Pirates @ Los Angeles Dodgers	PRE	3.12	3.04	L	5-4	-100u	+2.6%	Paper	Not recorded	Not recorded
2026-08-22 03:20	MLB	Moneyline	Athletics @ Houston Astros	PRE	2.70	2.56	L	4-0	-100u	+5.5%	Paper	Not recorded	Not recorded
2026-08-22 03:02	MLB	Moneyline	Detroit Tigers @ Kansas City Royals	LIVE	6.28	1.95	L	5-2	-50u	n/a*	Paper	Not recorded	Not recorded
2026-08-22 02:32	MLB	Moneyline	Chicago White Sox vs New York Mets	LIVE	12.00	1.81	W	6-4	+1,100u	n/a*	Paper	Not recorded	Not recorded
2026-08-22 02:32	MLB	Moneyline	Washington Nationals @ Miami Marlins	LIVE	2.30	2.32	L	3-2	-50u	n/a*	Paper	Not recorded	Not recorded
2026-08-22 02:20	MLB	Moneyline	Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees	LIVE	13.00	2.72	L	3-1	-50u	n/a*	Paper	Not recorded	Not recorded
2026-08-22 02:20	MLB	Moneyline	Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees	PRE	3.13	2.72	L	3-1	-100u	+15.1%	Paper	Not recorded	Not recorded
2026-08-22 02:02	MLB	Moneyline	San Francisco Giants @ Boston Red Sox	LIVE	15.00	2.58	L	6-4	-50u	n/a*	Paper	Not recorded	Not recorded
2026-08-22 01:50	MLB	Moneyline	Tampa Bay Rays @ Baltimore Orioles	LIVE	3.50	2.06	L	5-3	-50u	n/a*	Paper	Not recorded	Not recorded
2026-08-21 22:50	MLB	Moneyline	Atlanta Braves @ Milwaukee Brewers	PRE	2.31	2.26	L	2-1	-100u	+2.2%	Paper	Not recorded	Not recorded
2026-08-21 21:23	MLB	Moneyline	Washington Nationals @ Texas Rangers	LIVE	2.65	2.62	L	2-0	-100u	n/a*	Paper	Not recorded	Not recorded

* In-play CLV is not reported. 27 of the 33 entries were logged after first pitch. The gap between an in-play entry price and the closing price is dominated by how the game was going, not by whether the entry read the market correctly — several of those gaps exceed +500%. Publishing them as closing line value would overstate the result, so they are recorded in the underlying data and shown as n/a* here.
Book and model version read "Not recorded" because the experiment did not capture them. They are shown rather than hidden so the gaps in the record are visible. Nothing has been reconstructed after the fact.
Units are paper units. No real money was staked at any point. Stake sizing was not constant across entries, which is why the unit total and the win-loss record point in opposite directions.
This is the complete table. There is no pagination, no filter, and no sort control, because every one of those would make it possible to show a subset.